QB · pick 139 — first ever quarterback at #139 (2016)

QB·pick 139

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #139

Cardale Jones

Drafted by BUF — GM Doug Whaley · Ohio St.

2016

QBs drafted at #139 in NFL history

most recent: Clayton Tune (ARI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a quarterback at #139 a 3.7% chance in 2016.

Quarterback at #139, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

#134RBKenneth DixonBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#135QBDak PrescottDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#136RBDevontae BookerDEN — GM John Elway
#137DEDean LowryGB — GM Ted Thompson
#138TESeth DevalveCLE — GM Sashi Brown
#140WRTajae SharpeTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#141CBZack SanchezCAR — GM Dave Gettleman
#142DERonald BlairSF — GM Trent Baalke
#143RBDeAndre WashingtonLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#144OGConnor McGovernDEN — GM John Elway

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Clayton TuneARI — GM Monti Ossenfort · Houston

→ see this cell on the full chart