Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 13

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #13

Chris Miller

Drafted by ATL — GM Ken Herock · Oregon

1987

2
QBs drafted at #13 in NFL history
most recent: Ty Simpson (LAR, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a quarterback at #13 a 4.9% chance in 1987.

Quarterback at #13, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.7% 1987: 4.9%

Peak: 18.7% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart