QB · pick 127 — first ever quarterback at #127 (2023)

QB·pick 127

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #127

Jake Haener

Drafted by NO — GM Mickey Loomis · Fresno St.

2023

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2022, the model gave a quarterback at #127 a 3.0% chance in 2023.

Quarterback at #127, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.2% · 2027 model: 3.6%

Surrounding picks · 2023 draft

#122OGJon GainesARI — GM Monti Ossenfort
#123DTCameron YoungSEA — GM John Schneider
#124DETavius RobinsonBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#125WRDerius DavisLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#126DTIsaiah McGuireCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#128QBStetson BennettLAR — GM Les Snead
#129DTViliami FehokoDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#130DETyler LacyJAX — GM Trent Baalke
#131WRCharlie JonesCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#132LBNick HerbigPIT — GM Omar Khan

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart