Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 122

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #122

Mike Kafka

Drafted by PHI — GM Howie Roseman · Northwestern

2010

2
QBs drafted at #122 in NFL history
most recent: Jacob Eason (IND, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a quarterback at #122 a 4.4% chance in 2010.

Quarterback at #122, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.3% 2010: 4.4%

Peak: 7.3% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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