Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 116

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #116

Steve Grogan

Drafted by NE · Kansas State

1975

3
QBs drafted at #116 in NFL history
most recent: Doug Nussmeier (NO, 1994)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a quarterback at #116 a 3.9% chance in 1975.

Quarterback at #116, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.3% 1975: 3.9%

Peak: 7.3% · 2027 model: 3.4%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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