Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 107

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #107

Craig Penrose

Drafted by DEN · San Diego State

1976

2
QBs drafted at #107 in NFL history
most recent: Will Furrer (CHI, 1992)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a quarterback at #107 a 4.3% chance in 1976.

Quarterback at #107, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.4% 1976: 4.3%

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart