Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 106

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #106

Bill Musgrave

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Oregon

1991

4
QBs drafted at #106 in NFL history
most recent: Kyle Orton (CHI, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #106 a 4.9% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #106, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.4% 1991: 4.9%

Peak: 7.4% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart