Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 105

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #105

Mark Manges

Drafted by LAR · Maryland

1978

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a quarterback at #105 a 5.1% chance in 1978.

Quarterback at #105, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.5% 1978: 5.1%

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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