QB · pick 104 — first ever quarterback at #104 (1978)

QB·pick 104

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #104

Woods, PetePete Woods

Drafted by KC · Missouri

1978

QBs drafted at #104 in NFL history

most recent: Ryan Finley (CIN, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a quarterback at #104 a 5.1% chance in 1978.

Quarterback at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#99WRDennis LawCIN
#100CJim HoughMIN
#101CBLarry AndersonPIT
#102OTDwight WheelerNE
#103OGPallara, PetePete PallaraCLE
#105QBMark MangesLAR
#106OTEric LaaksoMIA
#107OGHomer EliasDET
#108WRJoe StewartLV
#109CLarry TearryDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2019Ryan FinleyCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · North Carolina St.
2017C.J. BeathardSF — GM John Lynch · Iowa

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