QB · pick 102 — first ever quarterback at #102 (1989)

QB·pick 102

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #102

Jeff Carlson

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw · Weber St.

1989

QBs drafted at #102 in NFL history

most recent: Kirk Cousins (WAS, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a quarterback at #102 a 4.0% chance in 1989.

Quarterback at #102, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

#97DEJake McCulloughDEN — GM John Beake
#98DERon StallworthNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg
#99OGPat TomberlinIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#100WRMichael TimpsonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#101TETravis McNealSEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring
#103CBJames HenrySEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring
#104WRRod HarrisTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#105DEBrad HenkeNYG — GM George Young
#106CBMichael MayesNO — GM Jim Finks
#107DEAndrew StewartCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2012Kirk CousinsWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Michigan St.
1992Casey WeldonPHI — GM Harry Gamble · Florida St.

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