OT · pick 94 — first ever offensive tackle at #94 (1974)

OT·pick 94

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #94

Matt Herkenhoff

Drafted by KC · Minnesota

1974

OTs drafted at #94 in NFL history

most recent: Alex Cappa (TB, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive tackle at #94 a 8.8% chance in 1974.

Offensive tackle at #94, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.9% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#88RBRod McNeillNO
#89LBFrank LeMasterPHI
#90RBSammy JohnsonSF
#91WRIke HarrisARI
#93WRMorris BradshawLV
#95RBCrumpler, CarlesterCarlester CrumplerBUF
#96RBVince KendrickATL
#97LBKen HutchersonDAL
#98OGWhite, DarylDaryl WhiteCIN
#99QBNorris WeeseLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2018Alex CappaTB — GM Jason Licht · Humboldt St.
2005Adam SnyderSF — GM Scot McCloughan · Oregon
2004Travelle WhartonCAR — GM Marty Hurney · South Carolina
2000John St. ClairLAR — GM Charley Armey · Virginia
1978Fifer, WilliamWilliam FiferDET · West Texas State
1975Craig HertwigDET · Georgia

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