Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 78

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Jeff Hatch

Drafted by NYG — GM Ernie Accorsi · Pennsylvania

2002

2
OTs drafted at #78 in NFL history
most recent: Wade Smith (MIA, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a offensive tackle at #78 a 7.0% chance in 2002.

Offensive tackle at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.0% 2002: 7.0%

Peak: 18.0% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart