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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 74

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #74

Tim Irwin

Drafted by MIN — GM Mike Lynn · Tennessee

1981

4
OTs drafted at #74 in NFL history
most recent: Geron Christian (WAS, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a offensive tackle at #74 a 6.4% chance in 1981.

Offensive tackle at #74, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.1% 1981: 6.4%

Peak: 18.1% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart