OT · pick 5 — first ever offensive tackle at #5 (2007)

OT·pick 5

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #5

Levi Brown

Drafted by ARI — GM Rod Graves · Penn St.

2007

OTs drafted at #5 in NFL history

most recent: Brandon Scherff (WAS, 2015)

Editor's note

Joe Alt and the modern LT premium

Chargers, 2024. With Sewell (#7, 2021) and Olu Fashanu (#11, 2024) on either side, the OT column is darkening at the top again — the mid-2010s era of teams settling for round-2 tackles is over. The cell already had Levi Brown (Cardinals, 2007) and Brandon Scherff (Washington, 2015); Alt makes it three high-pedigree top-5 tackles in eight years.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a offensive tackle at #5 a 10.4% chance in 2007.

Offensive tackle at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 32.4% · 2027 model: 10.1%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#1QBJaMarcus RussellLV — GM Al Davis era
#2WRCalvin JohnsonDET — GM Matt Millen
#3OTJoe ThomasCLE — GM Phil Savage
#4DEGaines AdamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#6SLaRon LandryWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#7RBAdrian PetersonMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#8DEJamaal AndersonATL — GM Rich McKay
#9WRTed Ginn Jr.MIA — GM Randy Mueller
#10DTAmobi OkoyeHOU — GM Rick Smith

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2015Brandon ScherffWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Iowa

→ see this cell on the full chart