Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 49

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #49

Doug Williams

Drafted by NYJ — GM Jim Kensil · Texas A&M

1986

3
OTs drafted at #49 in NFL history
most recent: Ben Ijalana (IND, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a offensive tackle at #49 a 5.9% chance in 1986.

Offensive tackle at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.3% 1986: 5.9%

Peak: 18.3% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart