Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 43

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #43

Dan Dierdorf

Drafted by ARI · Michigan

1971

4
OTs drafted at #43 in NFL history
most recent: Maurice Williams (JAX, 2001)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a offensive tackle at #43 a 11.7% chance in 1971.

Offensive tackle at #43, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.5% 1971: 11.7%

Peak: 18.5% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart