OT · pick 42 — first ever offensive tackle at #42 (2007)

OT·pick 42

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #42

Tony Ugoh

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Arkansas

2007

OTs drafted at #42 in NFL history

most recent: Menelik Watson (LV, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a offensive tackle at #42 a 8.2% chance in 2007.

Offensive tackle at #42, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.5% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#37SEric WeddleLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#38TEZach MillerLV — GM Al Davis era
#39OGJustin BlalockATL — GM Rich McKay
#40QBJohn BeckMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#41CBChris HoustonATL — GM Rich McKay
#43QBDrew StantonDET — GM Matt Millen
#44WRSidney RiceMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#45WRDwayne JarrettCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#46DELaMarr WoodleyPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#47LBDavid HarrisNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2013Menelik WatsonLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Florida St.
2012Jonathan MartinMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Stanford

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