OT · pick 40 — first ever offensive tackle at #40 (1974)

OT·pick 40

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #40

Corbett, BillyBilly Corbett

Drafted by CLE · Johnson C. Smith

1974

OTs drafted at #40 in NFL history

most recent: Mike Pearson (JAX, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive tackle at #40 a 9.9% chance in 1974.

Offensive tackle at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.5% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#35OTKeith FahnhorstSF
#36TEPaul SealNO
#37RBEd ShuttlesworthIND
#38TEAndre TillmanMIA
#39DTBilly HowardDET
#41OTCharlie GettyKC
#42DTCarl WaferDEN
#43CMark MarkovichLAC
#44WRGerald TinkerATL
#45TEDave CasperLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2002Mike PearsonJAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Florida
1983Rich StrengerDET — GM Russ Thomas · Michigan

→ see this cell on the full chart