OT · pick 34 — first ever offensive tackle at #34 (1983)

OT·pick 34

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #34

Dave Lutz

Drafted by KC — GM Jim Schaaf · Georgia Tech

1983

OTs drafted at #34 in NFL history

most recent: Cam Robinson (JAX, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a offensive tackle at #34 a 7.4% chance in 1983.

Offensive tackle at #34, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#29LBVernon MaxwellIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#30OTHarvey SalemTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#31OGMark CooperDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#32WRHenry EllardLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#33CBMike RichardsonCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#35SWes HopkinsPHI — GM Jim Murray
#36LBMike WilcherLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#37DELeonard MarshallNYG — GM George Young
#38CSteve KorteNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#39LBDarryl TalleyBUF — GM Stew Barber

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2017Cam RobinsonJAX — GM David Caldwell · Alabama
2015Donovan SmithTB — GM Jason Licht · Penn St.
1999Chris TerryCAR — GM Dom Anile · Georgia

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