OT·pick 32
Drafted by NE · Jackson State
1968
Pick 32 closes round one in the modern era; pre-1994 round 1 ended anywhere from #26 to #30. Either way, after the round-1 boundary the chart gets sparser at the top of every column except the trenches: OL and DL stay dense for a couple more rounds in any era.
No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 3.4%