OT · pick 30 — first ever offensive tackle at #30 (1977)

OT·pick 30

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Tom Lynch

Drafted by SEA · Boston College

1977

OTs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: Ross Verba (GB, 1997)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a offensive tackle at #30 a 9.1% chance in 1977.

Offensive tackle at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#25WRStanley MorganNE
#26WRRandy BurkeIND
#27QBTommy KramerMIN
#28DEEzra JohnsonGB
#29LBDave LewisTB
#31SNolan CromwellLAR
#32WRJohnny PerkinsNYG
#33WRWesley WalkerNYJ
#34DTMike FultzNO
#35SMike DavisLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

1997Ross VerbaGB — GM Ron Wolf · Iowa
1996Andre JohnsonWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Penn St.
1983Harvey SalemTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · California

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