Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 3

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #3

Lionel Antoine

Drafted by CHI · Southern Illinois

1972

5
OTs drafted at #3 in NFL history
most recent: Joe Thomas (CLE, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive tackle at #3 a 11.0% chance in 1972.

Offensive tackle at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%36.8% 1972: 11.0%

Peak: 36.8% · 2027 model: 9.5%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart