OT · pick 261 — first ever offensive tackle at #261 (2022)

OT·pick 261

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #261

AJ Arcuri

Drafted by LAR — GM Les Snead · Michigan St.

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a offensive tackle at #261 a 5.1% chance in 2022.

Offensive tackle at #261, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 28.3% · 2027 model: 2.1%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#256LBJesse LuketaARI — GM Steve Keim
#257OGMarquis HayesARI — GM Steve Keim
#258WRSamori ToureGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#259SNazeeh JohnsonKC — GM Brett Veach
#260RBZander HorvathLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#262QBBrock PurdySF — GM John Lynch

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart