OT · pick 254 — first ever offensive tackle at #254 (2004)

OT·pick 254

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #254

Carlos Joseph

Drafted by LAC — GM A.J. Smith · Miami (FL)

2004

OTs drafted at #254 in NFL history

most recent: Korey Cunningham (ARI, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #254 a 5.7% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.9% · 2027 model: 2.3%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#249DEBobby McCrayJAX — GM James Harris
#250QBBradlee Van PeltDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#251OGScott WellsGB — GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#255LBAndre SommersellLV — GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2018Korey CunninghamARI — GM Steve Keim · Cincinnati
2005Doug NienhuisSEA — GM Tim Ruskell · Oregon St.

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