OT · pick 252 — first ever offensive tackle at #252 (2007)

OT·pick 252

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #252

Andrew Carnahan

Drafted by JAX — GM James Harris · Arizona St.

2007

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a offensive tackle at #252 a 6.4% chance in 2007.

Offensive tackle at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.6% · 2027 model: 2.3%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#247OGMike ElginNE — GM Bill Belichick
#248DTKeith JacksonLAR — GM Jay Zygmunt
#249WRDerek StanleyLAR — GM Jay Zygmunt
#250RBAhmad BradshawNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#251LBChad NkangJAX — GM James Harris
#253SNedu NdukweCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#254WRJonathan HollandLV — GM Al Davis era
#255CBRamzee RobinsonDET — GM Matt Millen

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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