Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 25

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #25

John Ward

Drafted by MIN · Oklahoma State

1970

4
OTs drafted at #25 in NFL history
most recent: James Carpenter (SEA, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a offensive tackle at #25 a 11.0% chance in 1970.

Offensive tackle at #25, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.6% 1970: 11.0%

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 4.1%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart