Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 231

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #231

Kevin Sampson

Drafted by KC — GM Carl Peterson · Syracuse

2004

4
OTs drafted at #231 in NFL history
most recent: Larnel Coleman (MIA, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #231 a 6.0% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #231, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.8% 2004: 6.0%

Peak: 23.8% · 2027 model: 2.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart