OT · pick 221 — first ever offensive tackle at #221 (2012)

OT·pick 221

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Nate Potter

Drafted by ARI — GM Rod Graves · Boise St.

2012

OTs drafted at #221 in NFL history

most recent: Travis Clayton (BUF, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a offensive tackle at #221 a 6.7% chance in 2012.

Offensive tackle at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.9% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#216SD.J. CampbellCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#217SJordan BernstineWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#218DTJerome LongKC — GM Scott Pioli
#219DETrevor GuytonMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#220CBGreg McCoyCHI — GM Phil Emery
#222LBCaleb McSurdyDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#223LBTravis LewisDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#224CBAlfonzo DennardNE — GM Bill Belichick
#225DTJ.R. SweezySEA — GM John Schneider
#226CDavid MolkLAC — GM A.J. Smith

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2024Travis ClaytonBUF — GM Brandon Beane

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