Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 217

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #217

Chad Overhauser

Drafted by CHI — GM Mark Hatley · UCLA

1998

2
OTs drafted at #217 in NFL history
most recent: Jon Dunn (CLE, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a offensive tackle at #217 a 6.3% chance in 1998.

Offensive tackle at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.6% 1998: 6.3%

Peak: 22.6% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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