OT · pick 216 — first ever offensive tackle at #216 (2003)

OT·pick 216

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #216

Ben Johnson

Drafted by DET — GM Matt Millen · Wisconsin

2003

OTs drafted at #216 in NFL history

most recent: Kyle Calloway (BUF, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a offensive tackle at #216 a 5.8% chance in 2003.

Offensive tackle at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.5% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#211WRDavid TyreeNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#212OTBrennan CurtinGB — GM Mike Sherman
#213SYeremiah BellMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#214DTKeith WrightHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#215OTScott KooistraCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#217SCurry BurnsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#218RBMalaefou MacKenzieJAX — GM James Harris
#219OGJustin BatesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#220CBBlue AdamsDET — GM Matt Millen
#221WRKeenan HowryMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Kyle CallowayBUF — GM Buddy Nix · Iowa
2006Terrance PenningtonBUF — GM Marv Levy · New Mexico

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