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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 211

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #211

Calvin Armstrong

Drafted by PHI — GM Andy Reid · Washington St.

2005

4
OTs drafted at #211 in NFL history
most recent: Conor McDermott (NE, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a offensive tackle at #211 a 6.9% chance in 2005.

Offensive tackle at #211, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.1% 2005: 6.9%

Peak: 22.1% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart