OT · pick 209 — first ever offensive tackle at #209 (2003)

OT·pick 209

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #209

Tim Provost

Drafted by MIA — GM Rick Spielman · San Jose St.

2003

OTs drafted at #209 in NFL history

most recent: Simon Stepaniak (GB, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a offensive tackle at #209 a 5.9% chance in 2003.

Offensive tackle at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.0% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#204OTDustin RykertLV — GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB — GM Rich McKay
#206RBBrock ForseyCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#207CBFrank WalkerNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#208OTMakoa FreitasIND — GM Bill Polian
#210LBTony GilbertARI — GM Rod Graves
#211WRDavid TyreeNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#212OTBrennan CurtinGB — GM Mike Sherman
#213SYeremiah BellMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#214DTKeith WrightHOU — GM Charley Casserly

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Simon StepaniakGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Indiana
2007Corey HilliardNE — GM Bill Belichick · Oklahoma St.
2005Rob PetittiDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Pittsburgh
2004Shane OliveaLAC — GM A.J. Smith · Ohio St.

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