OT · pick 207 — first ever offensive tackle at #207 (2004)

OT·pick 207

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #207

Dylan McFarland

Drafted by BUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Montana

2004

OTs drafted at #207 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Jerrell (SEA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #207 a 6.3% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.8% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#202QBJohn NavarreARI — GM Rod Graves
#203OTDrew StrojnyNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#204DTRyon BinghamLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#205SNate JonesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#206WRMark JonesTB — GM Bruce Allen
#208RBAdimchinobe EchemanduCLE — GM Butch Davis
#209OTShane OliveaLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#210LBRaheem OrrHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#211WRSloan ThomasHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#212DTEric TaylorPIT — GM Kevin Colbert

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Michael JerrellSEA — GM John Schneider · Findlay
2005Joe BergerCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Michigan Tech

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