OT · pick 205 — first ever offensive tackle at #205 (2022)

OT·pick 205

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Austin Deculus

Drafted by HOU — GM Nick Caserio · LSU

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a offensive tackle at #205 a 5.4% chance in 2022.

Offensive tackle at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#200DESam RobertsNE — GM Bill Belichick
#201RBKeaontay IngramARI — GM Steve Keim
#202WRMichael Woods IICLE — GM Andrew Berry
#203RBTrestan EbnerCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#204STheo JacksonTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#206DEMatt HenningsenDEN — GM George Paton
#207OGDoug KramerCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#208TEConnor HeywardPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#209OGLuke TenutaBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#210OGChasen HinesNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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