OT · pick 20 — first ever offensive tackle at #20 (1975)

OT·pick 20

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #20

Doug France

Drafted by LAR · Ohio State

1975

OTs drafted at #20 in NFL history

most recent: Garett Bolles (DEN, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a offensive tackle at #20 a 9.6% chance in 1975.

Offensive tackle at #20, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.7% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#15RBDon HardemanTEN
#16TERuss FrancisNE
#17CBLouis WrightDEN
#18LBTom HendersonDAL
#19LBTom RuudBUF
#21STim GrayARI
#22CBMike WilliamsLAC
#23OTDarryl CarltonMIA
#24CBNeal ColzieLV
#25DEMark MullaneyMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2017Garett BollesDEN — GM John Elway · Utah
2003George FosterDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Georgia
2000Stockar McDougleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Oklahoma
1986Will WolfordBUF — GM Bill Polian · Vanderbilt

→ see this cell on the full chart