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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 199

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #199

Ephraim Salaam

Drafted by ATL — GM Harold Richardson · San Diego St.

1998

3
OTs drafted at #199 in NFL history
most recent: Charlie Johnson (IND, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a offensive tackle at #199 a 6.5% chance in 1998.

Offensive tackle at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.3% 1998: 6.5%

Peak: 21.3% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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