OT · pick 195 — first ever offensive tackle at #195 (2020)

OT·pick 195

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Justin Herron

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Wake Forest

2020

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a offensive tackle at #195 a 5.5% chance in 2020.

Offensive tackle at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.0% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

#190TECharlie WoernerSF — GM John Lynch
#191STBraden MannNYJ — GM Joe Douglas
#192OTJon Runyan Jr.GB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#193DTRobert WindsorIND — GM Chris Ballard
#194DTKhalil DavisTB — GM Jason Licht
#196LBShaun BradleyPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#197DTJohn PenisiniDET — GM Bob Quinn
#198SAntoine Brooks Jr.PIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#199SJordan FullerLAR — GM Les Snead
#200WRQuez WatkinsPHI — GM Howie Roseman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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