Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OT·pick 186

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #186

Westlund, RogerRoger Westlund

Drafted by ATL · Washington

1979

2
OTs drafted at #186 in NFL history
most recent: Kevin Belcher (LV, 1985)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a offensive tackle at #186 a 9.7% chance in 1979.

Offensive tackle at #186, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%20.5% 1979: 9.7%

Peak: 20.5% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart