OT · pick 18 — first ever offensive tackle at #18 (1993)

OT·pick 18

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #18

Ernest Dye

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · South Carolina

1993

OTs drafted at #18 in NFL history

most recent: Grey Zabel (SEA, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a offensive tackle at #18 a 8.1% chance in 1993.

Offensive tackle at #18, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.8% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

#13OTBrad HopkinsTEN — GM Mike Holovak
#14CSteve EverittCLE — GM Bill Belichick
#15LBWayne SimmonsGB — GM Ron Wolf
#16WRSean DawkinsIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#17CBTom CarterWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#19OGLester HolmesPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#20TEIrv SmithNO — GM Jim Finks
#21RBRobert SmithMIN — GM Roger Headrick
#22CBDarrien GordonLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#23CBDeon FiguresPIT — GM Tom Donahoe

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Grey ZabelSEA — GM John Schneider · North Dakota St.
2020Austin JacksonMIA — GM Chris Grier · USC
2001Jeff BackusDET — GM Matt Millen · Michigan

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