OT · pick 178 — first ever offensive tackle at #178 (1978)

OT·pick 178

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #178

Karl Baldischwiler

Drafted by MIA · Oklahoma

1978

OTs drafted at #178 in NFL history

most recent: Marko Cavka (NYJ, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive tackle at #178 a 10.7% chance in 1978.

Offensive tackle at #178, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.0% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#173SJohn HarrisSEA
#174RBDan DoorninkNYG
#175CFred QuillanSF
#176RBArthur WhittingtonLV
#177RBGibson, BruceBruce GibsonDET
#179TEJames WrightATL
#181WRDave StiefARI
#183RBSteve PowellBUF
#184WRBill KellarKC
#185WRJones, HermanHerman JonesCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2004Marko CavkaNYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Sacramento St.
2002Matt AnderleLAC — GM John Butler · Minnesota
1988Owen HoovenDAL — GM Tex Schramm · Oregon St.
1979Swafford, DonDon SwaffordPHI · Florida

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