OT · pick 174 — first ever offensive tackle at #174 (1971)

OT·pick 174

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #174

Watson, LarryLarry Watson

Drafted by TEN · Morgan State

1971

OTs drafted at #174 in NFL history

most recent: Fahn Cooper (SF, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a offensive tackle at #174 a 11.7% chance in 1971.

Offensive tackle at #174, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.8% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#169WRChuck DicusLAC
#170STJacobs, BobBob JacobsCLE
#171SNeal CraigCIN
#172WRBob NewlandNO
#173SCooch, JamesJames CoochARI
#175WRJohnson, JamesJames JohnsonGB
#176RBFerris, DennisDennis FerrisCHI
#177OTWheless, BrownieBrownie WhelessDET
#179OTJohn WatsonSF
#180LBGene MackMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Fahn CooperSF — GM Trent Baalke · Mississippi
1972Wesley, DonDon WesleyCLE · Maryland State

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