OT · pick 171 — first ever offensive tackle at #171 (1974)

OT·pick 171

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #171

Gerry Sullivan

Drafted by CLE · Illinois

1974

OTs drafted at #171 in NFL history

most recent: Clint Oldenburg (NE, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive tackle at #171 a 9.8% chance in 1974.

Offensive tackle at #171, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.7% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#166RBKermit JohnsonSF
#167DECullars, WillieWillie CullarsPHI
#168OTPurvis, BartBart PurvisGB
#169STEfrén HerreraDET
#170LBDan DickelIND
#172DEHegge, LeroyLeroy HeggeKC
#173OTJim CoodeATL
#174WRFreddie ScottIND
#175STGarcia, RodRod GarciaLV
#176LBNester, RaymondRaymond NesterDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2007Clint OldenburgNE — GM Bill Belichick · Colorado St.
2002Matt HillSEA — GM Mike Holmgren · Boise St.
1995Andrew PetersonCAR — GM Bill Polian · Washington
1993Alec MillenNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · Georgia
1992Darryl AshmoreLAR — GM John Shaw · Northwestern

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