OT · pick 170 — first ever offensive tackle at #170 (2008)

OT·pick 170

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #170

Barry Richardson

Drafted by KC — GM Carl Peterson · Clemson

2008

OTs drafted at #170 in NFL history

most recent: Cole Toner (ARI, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a offensive tackle at #170 a 8.3% chance in 2008.

Offensive tackle at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.6% · 2027 model: 3.0%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

#165LBJonathan GoffNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#166RBMarcus ThomasLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#167DEErik WaldenDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#168STDurant BrooksWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#169DETrevor ScottLV — GM Al Davis era
#171WRMarcus HenryNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#172RBThomas BrownATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#173SDominique BarberHOU — GM Rick Smith
#174WRJosh MorganSF — GM Scot McCloughan
#175LBGeno HayesTB — GM Bruce Allen

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Cole TonerARI — GM Steve Keim · Harvard
2009George BusseyNE — GM Bill Belichick · Louisville

→ see this cell on the full chart