OT · pick 158 — first ever offensive tackle at #158 (1970)

OT·pick 158

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Brennan, TerryTerry Brennan

Drafted by PHI · Notre Dame

1970

OTs drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Brandon Shell (NYJ, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a offensive tackle at #158 a 12.0% chance in 1970.

Offensive tackle at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.1% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#153DEPat ToomayDAL
#154CBAlvin WyattLV
#155OTKegler, ClarenceClarence KeglerPIT
#156OTRobert HewsKC
#157RBGriffin, DannyDanny GriffinPIT
#159SJake ScottMIA
#160RBOdell LawsonNE
#161OTWayne FowlerBUF
#162CBTed ProvostLAR
#163CBLemar ParrishCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Brandon ShellNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · South Carolina
1993Chuck BradleyTEN — GM Mike Holovak · Kentucky
1983Ken KaplanTB — GM Phil Krueger · New Hampshire

→ see this cell on the full chart