OT · pick 157 — first ever offensive tackle at #157 (1973)

OT·pick 157

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #157

Shelby Jordan

Drafted by TEN · Washington (MO)

1973

OTs drafted at #157 in NFL history

most recent: Will Holden (ARI, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive tackle at #157 a 9.1% chance in 1973.

Offensive tackle at #157, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.0% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#152LBTom TonerGB
#153OTMyers, BrentBrent MyersLV
#154WRSkolnik, GlennGlenn SkolnikPIT
#155CRick HarrellNYJ
#156OGEd NewmanMIA
#158SBill CahillNO
#159DEWilliam WynnPHI
#160LBKevin ReillyMIA
#161LBBrown, SteveSteve BrownLAR
#162LBBrian McConnellBUF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2017Will HoldenARI — GM Steve Keim · Vanderbilt
1996Kenneth McDanielDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Norfolk St.

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