OT · pick 153 — first ever offensive tackle at #153 (1973)

OT·pick 153

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Myers, BrentBrent Myers

Drafted by LV · Purdue

1973

OTs drafted at #153 in NFL history

most recent: Colton McKivitz (SF, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive tackle at #153 a 9.1% chance in 1973.

Offensive tackle at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.9% · 2027 model: 3.1%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#148SAndre, PhilPhil AndreARI
#149DTArthur MooreSF
#150SVan GreenCLE
#151OGLeyen, BobBob LeyenDAL
#152LBTom TonerGB
#154WRSkolnik, GlennGlenn SkolnikPIT
#155CRick HarrellNYJ
#156OGEd NewmanMIA
#157OTShelby JordanTEN
#158SBill CahillNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2020Colton McKivitzSF — GM John Lynch · West Virginia
2018Tyrell CrosbyDET — GM Bob Quinn · Oregon
2012Dennis KellyPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Purdue
2005Adam KieftCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Central Michigan
2003Jordan BlackKC — GM Carl Peterson · Notre Dame

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