OT · pick 146 — first ever offensive tackle at #146 (1983)

OT·pick 146

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #146

Ellis Gardner

Drafted by KC — GM Jim Schaaf · Georgia Tech

1983

OTs drafted at #146 in NFL history

most recent: Jimmy Herndon (JAX, 1996)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a offensive tackle at #146 a 6.0% chance in 1983.

Offensive tackle at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#141WRTrumaine JohnsonLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#142SSteve HaworthTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#143CBVictor HeflinDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#144OTGary KowalskiLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#145TETim StrackaCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#147WRVictor OatisPHI — GM Jim Murray
#148WRGene BrantonTB — GM Phil Krueger
#149DTDave PuzzuoliCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#150RBReginald GipsonSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#151LBDarrell PattersonNYG — GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

1996Jimmy HerndonJAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Houston
1992Brian BrauningerARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Oklahoma

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