OT · pick 145 — first ever offensive tackle at #145 (1978)

OT·pick 145

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #145

Smith, EricEric Smith

Drafted by BUF · Southern Miss

1978

OTs drafted at #145 in NFL history

most recent: Darian Kinnard (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive tackle at #145 a 9.7% chance in 1978.

Offensive tackle at #145, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#140CDavis, TomTom DavisLV
#141CBBobby JacksonNYJ
#142QBRieker, MikeMike RiekerNO
#143DTGregg RobinsonNYJ
#144OGLeotis HarrisGB
#146WRStarks, GlennGlenn StarksSEA
#147OGPass, RandyRandy PassNYG
#148RBElliott WalkerSF
#149CPitts, AlAl PittsCLE
#150SDwight HicksDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2022Darian KinnardKC — GM Brett Veach · Kentucky
2016John TheusSF — GM Trent Baalke · Georgia
1992Larry TharpeDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Tennessee St.
1984Scott RaridonPHI — GM Jim Murray · Nebraska

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