OT · pick 123 — first ever offensive tackle at #123 (2000)

OT·pick 123

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #123

Joey Chustz

Drafted by JAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Louisiana Tech

2000

OTs drafted at #123 in NFL history

most recent: Jerald Hawkins (PIT, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a offensive tackle at #123 a 6.3% chance in 2000.

Offensive tackle at #123, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.0% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#118STyrone CarterMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#119LBIsaiah KacyvenskiSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#120DEAlvin McKinleyCAR — GM Dom Anile
#121WRAvion BlackBUF — GM John Butler
#122DTJosh WilliamsIND — GM Bill Polian
#124SBobby MyersTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#125CBReggie AustinCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#126SGary BerryGB — GM Ron Wolf
#127OTGreg RandallNE — GM Bill Belichick
#128LBPeter SirmonTEN — GM Floyd Reese

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2016Jerald HawkinsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · LSU
2004Stacy AndrewsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Mississippi

→ see this cell on the full chart