OT · pick 115 — first ever offensive tackle at #115 (2004)

OT·pick 115

FIRST OT EVER DRAFTED AT #115

Nat Dorsey

Drafted by MIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski · Georgia Tech

2004

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a offensive tackle at #115 a 6.4% chance in 2004.

Offensive tackle at #115, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.9% · 2027 model: 3.2%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#110CBNathan VasherCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#111SWill AllenTB — GM Bruce Allen
#112LBLeon JoeCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#113SDexter ReidNE — GM Bill Belichick
#114DTMatthias AskewCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#116LBNiko KoutouvidesSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#117DERobert GeathersCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#118DTAnthony MaddoxJAX — GM James Harris
#119RBMewelde MooreMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#120WRErnest WilfordJAX — GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart